Dutchsinse - TickTock TickTock

Quote Sincedutch 11/5/2011 : "if it doesn’t hit.. then.. obviously I was wrong in my forecast."

Here's what he has to say:

11/5/2011 — Great Falls Montana to Glasgow Montana = “HAARP ring” epicenters watch for 24-48 hours Posted on November 5, 2011 by sincedutch

These two frequency rings, as I call them “HAARP rings”, appeared today 800am CDT 11/5/2011 — out of Great Falls, and Glasgow Montana.

Watch these two towns for severe weather in the next 24-48 hours from this point.

here is the official NWS forecast for the record.. they have a 0-10% chance of any precip.. over the next 3 days after today. Again, I am calling for severe weather within the same time frame.

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even one of my MOST ANNOYING , CRASS, and VAPID critics took note– we shall see if severe actually hits the center of the rings: (title is offensive) but IF severe hits these two towns in the next two days.. the title will be refuted… and if it doesn’t hit.. then.. obviously I was wrong in my forecast. :^)

The Weather Forecast graphics dutchsinse supplies within this post are correct, in that they as well as the National Weather Service out of Great Falls and Glasgow Montana also call for conditions to be 'DRY' for Sunday and Monday. See NWS Forecast below.

From what I can see, Dutchsinse / Sincedutch will be proven wrong with his prediction of 'Severe Weather' in these areas, within the next 30 Hours as of this writing.

One thing I am curious about; What in dutch's mind constitutes severe weather in winter ?? For the areas he mentions in his post linked above, the only thing that would be severe at this time of year would be a blizzard. With that in mind, I give you this :

Surely he isn't going to post later claiming CONfirmation of his prediction due to the 'Winter Weather Advisory' issued for Saturday night, or the 'Winter Storm Warning' having been issued through Sunday morning at 1:51 PM MDT Saturday. I wouldn't put it past him....

NWS Forecast

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION 
  NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT 
  535 PM MDT SAT NOV 5 2011

TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...MAIN AREA OF LIFT AND MOISTURE ASSOCIATED 
  WITH THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING INTO THE REGION HAS SHIFTED 
  EAST INTO EASTERN MT AND SNOW HAD DIMINISHED TO A FEW SNOW 
  SHOWERS...MAINLY OVER EXTREME EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST 
  AREA AND OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SW MT AND THE WESTERN MTNS. 
  STORM SYSTEM SPINS UP OVER THE DAKOTAS/CANADIAN PRAIRIES TONIGHT 
  AND TOMORROW ALLOWING DRIER AIR TO CIRCULATE INTO THE REGION FROM 
  THE NW. THIS WILL BRING SOME CLEARING...ESPECIALLY TO NORTHERN 
  ZONES...TONIGHT. WINDS ARE RELATIVELY LIGHT AND THIS WILL ALLOW 
  FOR TEMPERATURES TO DROP INTO THE TEENS ACROSS MANY AREAS FOR THE 
  FIRST TIME THIS SEASON. THIS AND MOISTURE IN LOW LEVELS WILL ALSO 
  BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME PATCHY FOG INTO TOMORROW MORNING. 
  CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY DRY SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS 
  NORTHWESTERLY FLOW BACKS TO THE WEST WITH ANY CHANCE FOR SNOW 
  SHOWERS OR FLURRIES MAINLY CONFINED TO THE MTNS. TEMPERATURES WILL 
  REMAIN BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGES WITH SLIGHT WARMING BY MONDAY. 
  HOENISCH 

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 AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION 
  NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT 
  238 PM MDT SAT NOV 5 2011 
   
  .SHORT TERM...FOR NORTHEAST MONTANA...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY... 
   
  THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING... FORECAST HAS BEEN COMPLICATED BY A 
  SERIES OF VERY NARROW JETS AT MULTIPLE LEVELS WHICH ARE ENHANCING 
  AND DETRACTING VARIOUS SNOW GROWTH ZONES. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS 
  THIS FAIRLY CLEARLY ALONG WITH A LARGE TROUGH THAT HAS DUG IN 
  ALONG THE COLORADO/NEW MEXICO BORDER TURNING MANY OF THESE JET 
  FEATURES INTO NEGATIVE TILTS MUCH UNLIKE WHAT WAS PREVIOUSLY 
  PREDICTED IN THE STRAIGHT NORTH/SOUTH ORIENTATION OF THE PREVIOUS 
  MODEL RUNS. THIS HAS ACTED TO HOLD OFF THE MAIN DRY AIR PUSH AND 
  STRONG CAA WHICH IS JUST BEGINNING TO MOVE THROUGH PHILLIPS COUNTY 
  AS OF 2PM AND ALLOWED FOR THE 700MB MOISTURE PLUME TO BE TAPPED 
  MUSH FURTHER WEST THAN ANTICIPATED. THEREFORE... A WINTER WEATHER 
  ADVISORY WAS ISSUED LATE BUT ON THE SPOT AND THROUGH MIDNIGHT TO 
  ACCOUNT FOR THIS EXTRA SNOWFALL ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE 
  CWA.  
   
  FOR TONIGHT... WESTERN EXPANSION OF THE SNOW LINE WILL BEGIN LATER 
  THAN ORIGINALLY ANTICIPATED BY ABOUT 6 HOURS... BUT SHOULD BEGIN TO 
  FILL IN LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING WITH THE BULK OF THE 
  PRECIPITATION STILL OFF TO THE WEST. IN ADDITION... COLD DRY AIR 
  IS ALREADY STARTING TO FILTER INTO FROM THE WEST WITH A LINE 
  FORMING ON RADAR ALONG THE PHILLIPS/BLAINE COUNTY BORDER. THIS 
  SHOULD BE THE BACK SIDE OF THE SNOW LINE BUT SHOULD ALSO MOVE 
  SLOWLY THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. 
   
  SUNDAY... THE STORM SHOULD MOVE OFF TO THE NORTHEAST. HOWEVER LEFT 
  OVER MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO ALLOW FOR FLURRIES ACROSS THE FAR 
  NORTHEASTERN COUNTIES OF THE CWA. MEANWHILE HIGH PRESSURE AND CAA 
  WILL EAT AWAY AT THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTIONS OF THE CWA AND MAY BE 
  ABLE TO CREATE NEARLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY CLOUDY CONDITIONS 
  SUNDAY WHICH SHOULD LAST ALL THE WAY THROUGH MONDAY. 
   
  SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY... LARGE SCALE PATTERN SHOULD BECOME A 
  SPLIT FLOW WITH NORTHEAST MONTANA RIGHT IN THE MIDDLE OF THE RIDGE 
  OVER THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES TO THE NORTH AND SHORTWAVE ENERGY TO 
  THE SOUTH OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. THIS WILL PRODUCE PARTLY 
  TO VARIABLY CLOUDY SKIES AND MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS. GAH

posted 2:06 AM 11/6/2011