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Monday, November 14, 2011

Storms 24-48 hours away, No post from Dutchsinse / Sincedutch

UPDATE 9:48 PM 11/14/2011 - Original post below this update

Yesterday I said "I guess he's waiting for them to pop up before he commits.", when speaking of the storms in the post title and info. posted below this update.

Well .. it seems I was correct again in predicting what dutchsince / sincedutch would do. I have a feeling Dutch is now reading 'this' blog and adjusting to it. He now knows someone is watching and debunking his antics post for post, or most of them. So be it. Howdy Dutch !

Dutchsine did post today mentioning the storm system impacting the East North Central States. However, he calls this are the midwest. Close enough dutch. This same storm system has also impacted the Northeastern United States and tonight is impacting some East South Central States.

So... what did dutch have to say in this post 11/14/2011 — Damaging winds, Hail, and possible Tornadoes throughout Midwest USA;about this ? Not much at all. No mention of haarp rings or anything else really. He did show us a couple screenshots [one below] and he made a video showing the same things. The norm as in most of his videos, screenshots of the system in question and the radar showing those pop up warnings.

Like I was saying, he didn't mention any haarp ring induced storms today as of this update. I do believe he is changing tactics to garner credibility. I have noticed this as of late. With whom I have no idea, as his followers hang on every word of his haarp ring forecast.

Tomorrow should be as active as today was. Here are the 69 storm reports received today as of 9:25 PM EST


Here's one of the screenshots in dutch's post


I'll update this post as soon as dutchsinse mentions more about this system. If he does.

__________

Original Post 11/13/2011

I guess he's waiting for them to pop up before he commits. It's how he does it ya know. So, I'll wait until tomorrow and see what he has to say about these storms that many of us knew about 4 days ago. Here's the latest on these storms via the SPC.

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1130 AM CST SUN NOV 13 2011

VALID 141200Z - 151200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE OH VALLEY/MIDWEST...A SEMI-ORGANIZED/ISOLATED SEVERE RISK MAY DEVELOP MONDAY AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. FAST-MOVING LOW-TOPPED TSTMS SHOULD GRADUALLY INCREASE/LINEARLY ORGANIZE MONDAY AFTERNOON ALONG /OR PERHAPS MORE SO/ JUST AHEAD OF THE EASTWARD ADVANCING COLD FRONT...WITH PROBABLE QLCS-TYPE EVOLUTIONS INCLUDING BOWING SEGMENTS AND EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS/MESOVORTICES CAPABLE OF AN ENHANCED WIND DAMAGE/POSSIBLE TORNADO THREAT. ASIDE FROM SOME HAIL POTENTIAL...THE PRIMARY HAZARDS ARE LIKELY TO BE DAMAGING WINDS ALONG WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF A FEW TORNADOES /MAINLY ASSOCIATED WITH QLCS-TYPE STRUCTURES/.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS SOUTH/SOUTH-CENTRAL TX...WILL MAINTAIN A CATEGORICAL SLIGHT RISK FOR AN EXPECTED LATE PERIOD/EARLY TUESDAY INCREASE OF DEEP CONVECTION/SEVERE POTENTIAL ACROSS THE REGION...INITIALLY IN VICINITY OF THE RIO GRANDE. WHILE A MEASURE OF NUMERICAL GUIDANCE VARIABILITY STILL EXISTS WITH RESPECT TO THE BAJA/EVENTUAL NORTHERN MEXICO UPPER TROUGH...THE EASTWARD ADVANCEMENT OF THIS FEATURE SHOULD CONTRIBUTE TO SAID INCREASE OF TSTM POTENTIAL/POSSIBLE SEVERE WITHIN A RELATIVELY MOIST AIRMASS ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF TX. SEVERE HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE...AND A TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT LATE MONDAY/EARLY TUESDAY.


****************

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0230 AM CST SUN NOV 13 2011

VALID 151200Z - 161200Z

E TX EWD INTO THE MID AND LOWER MS/TN VALLEYS AND CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION...MODEL DIFFERENCES ARE EVIDENT WITH RESPECT TO THE RATE OF WEAKENING OF THE UPPER SYSTEM -- AND ASSOCIATED EFFECTS ON THE POTENCY OF THE FRONTAL WAVE. WHILE A STRONGER FRONTAL WAVE WOULD RESULT IN STRONGER LOW-LEVEL SHEAR -- AND THUS GREATER TORNADO POTENTIAL...CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW ATTM. GIVEN THAT...ONLY 5% SEVERE PROBABILITY WILL BE INTRODUCED ACROSS THE REGION -- WHICH WOULD INCLUDE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS ISOLATED TORNADOES -- PARTICULARLY INVOF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE PERIOD. WHILE SLIGHT RISK MAY EVENTUALLY BE
REQUIRED...LOW CONFIDENCE ATTM PRECLUDES INSERTION OF A MORE CERTAIN/HIGHER-END THREAT AREA.

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